According to the study of model structure, a reusable system structure of DSS is given based on the model object base and its dynamic management systems by means of the object oriented techniques. Then we introduce the way to realize and the work flow of it. Finally, the application of the architecture is introduced.

After investigating the application of connectionist method, especially, ANN to various aspects of DSS, we put forward the connectionist perspective of the structure of DSS. With this perspective, the structure of DSS can be simplified and the function of DSS can be perfected as well.

This paper, divided into two parts, studies the relation expression and management of IDSS model and knowledge. Part one studies the relation expression of model and establishes the relation expression and management of IDSS model. The model is expressed with three level modes, the description part, the input and output part, and the model body part. This method would be convenient for users of IDSS, and would create certain conditions for problem solving of IDSS.

For a class of nonlinear continuous time systems, we propose design method of an adaptive fuzzy controller which can use both fuzzy control knowledge and fuzzy plant knowledge at the same time. We show that the adaptive fuzzy controller has good performance from theory and simulation example.

This paper, using artificial neural network and dynamic game, designs a process oriented business strategy simulation system to either provide a non cost experimental instrument for the formation and implementation of strategies or test theoretical researches and to remedy the limitation of empirical researches on reengineering, which is applied to the practice of a company.

According to the goals of maximization for selling revenue and profit, this paper, using the concept of price elasticity and cross elasticity of demand, sets up mathematical models for the price adjustment of relative products. A concrete example is studied and calculated with models set up in this paper.

In this paper we consider a kind of $M^x$/G(M/G)/1 repairable queueing system with single delay vacation in which the vacation time, service time, repairing time and the delay vacation time are all arbitrary distributions.By using a concise method, we obtain the transient solution, stationary solution and stochastic decomposition of the queue length. Simultaneously we also give out the stochastic decompositions of the queue lengths in some special cases.

In this paper, considering the conflicts and decision power distribution among decision makers(DMs), an approach of two phase compromise on DMs' fuzzy satisfactory function is proposed to solve the multiperson hierarchical resource allocation problem. The compromise among the lower level DMs and between the levels are reached by means of the non conflict functions constituted by the shadow prices of resources and the decision power distribution, respectively. An example shows the feasibility and effectiv...

In this paper, the qualitative problem of a class of discrete time recurrent neural networks is discussed. First, a sufficient and necessary condition for existence and uniqueness of the equilibrium point of these neural networks is given, where the degree theory of nonlinear analysis is used; second, some sufficient rules for the global exponential stability of these neural networks are obtained by using Lyapunov function.

Constructing disjoint minimal path set is an important approach for reliability analysis of network. In this paper, based on network computation and developed from disjoint algebra and tree constructing algorithm for disjoint minimal path set, is presented a new algorithm for directly constructing disjoint minimal path set. The algorithm is simple and characterized by distributed computing, It provides a new approach for reliability analysis of large scale network system.

Game theoretic approach is a good way to quantify the decision maker's beliefs on uncertainty. This paper discusses a betting model in which players with two sided private information have multi prior expected utilities, and the results are similar to those of Morris(1995).

The paper declares the importance and academic attributes of the weapons and equipment series oriented VR simulation research. Based on the computing infrastructure of 90s, authors put systems target at self learning, self optimizing, self producing, modeling and simulation environments. Then based on the realized system AI+OOP, "Objects" are equipped with knowledge and human like attributes, through knowledge encapsulation technique. The original AIOOM platform has been promoted to software agents orie...

The current methods and network model used to evaluate weapon system's development are analyzed and compared. It is emphasized that neural network model is used to evaluate the important degree of weapon system's development item. Finally, several actual samples are given.

Based on the tactical principle of multi measure in batches and multipoint at the same time and high speed breaking obstacles in waterside and on beachhead, with the help of the mathemactical programming theory, requirement analysis and ability analysis models of reinforced motorized infantry division on cutting paths through the obstacles is established in this paper. Under the condition of limited military strength, equipment and time, paths supporting ability to paths need of reinforced motorized infan...

From the development of systems ideas, we discuss the systems movement with consideration of oriental systems thinking. We also depicted the development of the oriental system approach, Wuli Shili Renli approach.

Under the guidance of non linear programming theory, by using interpolative steps and inexact line search technique, an improved conjugate gradient method is found. It is a self adaptive learning algorithm which greatly enhances the convergence rate of learning, and converges to the global minima.

In order to improve the efficiency of BP neural network model, this paper presents a high efficiency learning algorithm. It adopts input layer driven and optimally initializing weights and automatically selecting the number of hidden nodes. The experiments show that the learning algorithm is reliable and efficient.

In this paper, we present a heuristic scheduling algorithm for MPS (Multi Processor System)with incompatible jobs, and the performance analysis of this algorithm. Some scheduling problem can be solved based on the heuristic method in polynomial time complexity when the job graphs have some special structures such as bipartite graph,tree and so on.

A definition of local variable weight is proposed and local state variable weight, as well as balance functions are discussed. Lastly, an example is given to note the local variable weight principle.

In the definition of fuzzy set, fuzzy subordinative degree μ(x) is the function of variable x. This paper states that μ(x)is also a function of x about states set. If the fuzzy subordinative degree, as the function of states set, does not satisfy the condition of normalization and the principle of additivity, then, the fuzzy subordinative degree, as the result of measurement, will be unbelievable.

Proceeding from the whole city housing level and considering each aspect on city housing level, this paper established a perfect comprehensive evaluation index system on city housing level. Based on the speciality of city housing level, this paper proposed the uniform approximation method for the comprehensive evaluation of city housing level. Using this method, we can distinguish different effects of city housing level in different areas and conditions.

This paper presents a new model of the fuzzy priority order evaluation of system digestion based on separability principle of the environment system and fuzziness in the environment state analysis.The model reflects relatively well the mutual confining relationship between various factors and has relatively strong universality and practicability. The essential factors of second level model is analyzed in the evaluation of the optimal sequence of environmental duality. Their characteristics are summarized,...

In this paper we show that the conventional treatment of polymer velocity enhancement in two phase flow to ill posed model equation when capillary dispersion is not present. A constant enhancement factor results in the accumulation of polymer near the polymer oil shock, irrespective of any lagging effect. We have established a percolation model for the IPV(inaccessible pore volume) velocity enhancement effect. In this model the velocity enhancement factor is a function of the water saturation, which resu...

With the study of the classical highway bottleneck model, this paper explores the possibility and method of implementing an optimal utilization to a highway with bottleneck. A dynamic tolling policy for this optimization is proposed. Finally, this paper discusses the issues in extending the model.

After the factors which influence the amount of colliery roadway sur rounding rock deformation are analyzed, the forecasting model based on artificial neural network is constructed. The results indicate that the model works well.

The concept of tourism background trend line was put forward in this paper. Based on the statistics data of foreign tourists from 1984a to 1996a, 6 background trend lines were founded by optimization simulated method, which deal with Japan, America, Britain, Germany, Australia and France. As applications, the author forecasts the next 4 years' development trends of above 6 markets with the forecasting function of tourism background trend line.

序号项目名称主要内容时间会期(天)地点联系人主要承办单位1中国系统工程学会第11届学术年会暨学会成立20周年纪念会学术交流、专题研讨11月5武汉经士仁湖北省系统工程学会2中国系统工程学会五届二次理事会研讨理事会的主要工作11月1武汉经士仁中国系统工程学会3系统科学?..

In this paper,by using C0 - semigroup theory the existence of a unique positive time- dependent solution of a bulk service queue with finite waiting space is proved.

The definition of speed index of DISOPE algorithm is given.The intelligent DISOPE method based on optimal selection of algorithm parameter,model and model parameter is put forward. The converge performance and availability of DISOPE algorithm is improved validly. The reliability and validity of this method is demonstrated by simulation.

On the basis of the general framework of United Nations'" indirect/ satellite " accounting system—— integrated system of environment &economy accounting SEEA ( 1 992 ) and 93'SNA,the specific objectives of this paper is try to construct one simple,effective and practical integrated system of environment & economy accounting of China( CSEEA) under Chinese National Accounting System's reform practice.

The paper investigates methods of Va R estimation using Extreme Value Theory( EVT) .It compares two different estimation methods," two step subsample bootstrap" based on moment estimation and Maximum L ikelihood Estimation( ML E) , according to their theoretical basis and computation procedures. Then,the estimation results are analysed together with those of normal method and empirical method. The empirical research of foreign exchange data shows that the EVT methods have good characters in estimating...

The paper puts forward the method of establishing the expense mathematical model on the bases of the expense problems in the process of the merchandise purchase,sale and storage.It gives out the systematic calculations of the dynamic cost optimality problems in the process of the commission sale.The break even- secured benefit model and the calculations reveal the internal relations of the operating cost fluctuation and the time of the merchandise storage.They lay down the foundation of the cost optim...

The purpose of this paper is to investigate the effect of monetary policy on GDP in China economy using annual time series data for the period 1 978- 1 998 employing super- exogeneity test.It is found that the superexogeneity assumption is rejected,while the weak exogeneity assumption appears to be valid.Thus,the results castdoubt on using monetary policy to stimulate economic growth.

In this paper,we establish a GARCH( 1 ,1 ) model for Chinese inflation. The model indicates thatthere is a GARCH effect.The GARCH( 1 ,1 ) model provides a better fit than the regression model.

The Chinese6- sector computable nonlinear dynamic inputoutputmodel and the method for determining its parameters are given in this paper.This model is the extension of linear L eontief inputoutputmodel.Itnotonly overcomes the shortage that capital and labor can not be substituted in Leontief I- O model,but also overcomes the shortage that it can only solve static equilibrium solution theoretically in most common computable general equilibrium( CGE) models.

We give the definitions of observability and upper limit observability for nonlinear DEDSΣ:( F( x) ,B,C) .By constructing minimal element matrix Amin= ∧ r∈ Iarij ,using matrix inequality,we give linearization sufficient condition of upper limit obervability,and point out that the upper limit observability is superior to the observability.We also give linearization sufficient condition of individual reachability of sysemΣ .Meanwhile,we discuss the same problems in the dual system ofΣ .

This paperpresents necessary and sufficientcondition of a linear synthetical evaluation function and a determining method of its weighting coefficients.

Based on the system analysis and research,this paper establishes the three classification index systems for the comprehensive evaluation on management information systems,the system construction,system function and application evaluation.With the help of Analytical Hierarchy Process,an AHP structure model was built,and an application example is given.

When decision- maker is uncertainty- aversion,how does updating his beliefs influence the degree of uncertainty aversion?This paper gives the answer.In general, the degree of uncertainty aversion decreases strictly as new information is obtained.

The paper analyzes the demerit of conventional reliability evaluation method of function substitute model ( FSM) . Based on fuzzy reliability theory,it evaluates fuzzy reliability of FSM and gets calculation formula of FSM's fuzzy reliability and fuzzy mean life- span.In the end,it gives an example.