基于Vague集和云模型的河湖水系连通工程规划布局方案优选及排序方法

冶运涛, 梁犁丽, 曹引, 周祖昊, 龚家国, 赵红莉, 蒋云钟

系统工程理论与实践 ›› 2017, Vol. 37 ›› Issue (7) : 1926-1936.

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系统工程理论与实践 ›› 2017, Vol. 37 ›› Issue (7) : 1926-1936. DOI: 10.12011/1000-6788(2017)07-1926-11
论文

基于Vague集和云模型的河湖水系连通工程规划布局方案优选及排序方法

    冶运涛, 梁犁丽, 曹引, 周祖昊, 龚家国, 赵红莉, 蒋云钟
作者信息 +

Optimization and sorting method of the engineering layout scheme for interconnected river system network based on vague set and cloud model

    YE Yuntao, LIANG Lili, CAO Yin, ZHOU Zuhao, GONG Jiaguo, ZHAO Hongli, JIANG Yunzhong
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摘要

河湖水系连通工程方案多属性多目标综合评价是河湖水系连通决策和管理迫切需要解决的基础性问题.为克服传统模糊集不能体现信息介于肯定与否定之间踌躇性的弊端，通过利用Vague集评分函数方法，建立了基于多种评分函数组合的河湖水系连通工程优选及排序的综合评价模型，并提出了基于云模型的河湖水系连通评判指标和指标权重灵敏度分析方法.以浙北引水工程为例，探讨了不同评分函数对工程方案排序的影响，对比分析了单一指标值变化和多个权重变化下不同评分函数对决策结果的鲁棒性情况.研究结果为河湖水系连通工程方案的决策和效果的合理性评估提供了一条新的研究路径.

Abstract

In order to solve the basic problem of decision-making and management for multi-attribute and multi-objective comprehensive evaluation on the interconnected river system network engineering schemes, a comprehensive evaluation and sensitivity analysis method of optimization and sorting for the engineering schemes based on score functions of vague sets and cloud model is proposed with the project of water diversion to northern Zhejiang province as an example, the method is used to discuss the effect of different score functions on sorting the engineering schemes and analyze their robustness for evaluating under the circumstances the changes of single index and multiple weights.

关键词

河湖水系连通工程 / 模糊综合评价 / Vague集 / 云模型 / 方案优化 / 排序

Key words

interconnected river system network project / fuzzy comprehensive evaluation / vague set / cloud model / optimization / sorting

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冶运涛 , 梁犁丽 , 曹引 , 周祖昊 , 龚家国 , 赵红莉 , 蒋云钟. 基于Vague集和云模型的河湖水系连通工程规划布局方案优选及排序方法. 系统工程理论与实践, 2017, 37(7): 1926-1936 https://doi.org/10.12011/1000-6788(2017)07-1926-11
YE Yuntao , LIANG Lili , CAO Yin , ZHOU Zuhao , GONG Jiaguo , ZHAO Hongli , JIANG Yunzhong. Optimization and sorting method of the engineering layout scheme for interconnected river system network based on vague set and cloud model. Systems Engineering - Theory & Practice, 2017, 37(7): 1926-1936 https://doi.org/10.12011/1000-6788(2017)07-1926-11
中图分类号： TV213    X52    TP399    TP29   

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基金

国家自然科学基金（51309254）；中国水利水电科学研究院重点科研项目（WR0145B272016）；云南省重大水利项目（YSZD-2014-001，YNWRM-2012-01）；中国水利水电科学研究院流域水循环模拟与调控国家重点实验室开放研究基金（IWHR-SKL-201517）
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