Robust surgery planning and scheduling with downstream bed capacity constraint in ICU

PENG Chun, LI Jinlin, WANG Shanshan, RAN Lun

Systems Engineering - Theory & Practice ›› 2018, Vol. 38 ›› Issue (3) : 623-633.

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Systems Engineering - Theory & Practice ›› 2018, Vol. 38 ›› Issue (3) : 623-633. DOI: 10.12011/1000-6788(2018)03-0623-11

Robust surgery planning and scheduling with downstream bed capacity constraint in ICU

  • PENG Chun, LI Jinlin, WANG Shanshan, RAN Lun
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Abstract

As a critical part of the allocation of healthcare resources, planning and scheduling surgeries is a complicated combinatorial optimization problem because of the coupled effect of multiple sources of uncertainty, such as surgery duration, length-of-stay in ICU and so on. In this paper, we incorporate the downstream bed capacity in ICU, employ ellipsoid and box uncertainty set to capture the uncertainties of surgery duration and length-of-stay in ICU. Then, we formulate a two-stage robust model to address these uncertainties, derive the tractable robust counterpart and propose a column generation algorithm. Numerical results show that, compared with uncertainty of length-of-stay, surgery duration uncertainty has a significant effect on the total cost and the overtime of blocks, whereas uncertainty of length-of-stay has a dramatic impact on the amount of short beds in ICU. Hospital managers should choose the proper combination of uncertain level parameters, and make a balanced trade-off between overtime of block and the shortage of beds in ICU, so as to maximize the utilization of healthcare resources.

Key words

surgery planning / robust optimization / uncertainty / bed capacity / column generation

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PENG Chun , LI Jinlin , WANG Shanshan , RAN Lun. Robust surgery planning and scheduling with downstream bed capacity constraint in ICU. Systems Engineering - Theory & Practice, 2018, 38(3): 623-633 https://doi.org/10.12011/1000-6788(2018)03-0623-11

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Funding

National Natural Science Foundation of China (71432002, 71672011); International Graduate Exchange Program of Beijing Institute of Technology (1320012351601)
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