The φ-divergence-based robust optimization model of a single-period inventory under CVaR

QIU Ruo-zhen, YUAN Hong-tao, LI Xiang, ZHU Zhu

Systems Engineering - Theory & Practice ›› 2015, Vol. 35 ›› Issue (12) : 3056-3064.

PDF(864 KB)
PDF(864 KB)
Systems Engineering - Theory & Practice ›› 2015, Vol. 35 ›› Issue (12) : 3056-3064. DOI: 10.12011/1000-6788(2015)12-3056

The φ-divergence-based robust optimization model of a single-period inventory under CVaR

  • QIU Ruo-zhen1, YUAN Hong-tao1, LI Xiang2, ZHU Zhu3
Author information +
History +

Abstract

The robust optimization model of a single-period inventory based on conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) is established for risk-aversion inventory managers under the discrete stochastic demand with uncertain probability. Using φ-divergence, the confidence region of the uncertain demand probability with a certain confidence level is constructed based on statistical theory when only knowing discrete demand scenarios. The robust optimization model of a single period inventory is transformed into a tractable one by Lagrange dual theory. Specially, an inventory strategy based on data-driven is proposed in the setting of only demand scenarios are known. At last, some numerical examples are executed to analyze the impacts of the degree of risk-aversion, the different forms of φ-divergence and the number of sampling on inventory strategy and managers' performance. The results show that the robust inventory strategy based on φ-divergence is robust to restrain the effects of the uncertain demand probability on the inventory performance. Furthermore, comparing with the results derived by data-driven method, the robust inventory strategy based on φ-divergence can ensure inventory managers to get a more ideal performance which indicates that the mining for statistical information implicit in demand data can effectively improve the inventory managers' operation performance.

Key words

inventory strategy / conditional value-at-risk / φ-divergence / robust optimization / data-driven

Cite this article

Download Citations
QIU Ruo-zhen , YUAN Hong-tao , LI Xiang , ZHU Zhu. The φ-divergence-based robust optimization model of a single-period inventory under CVaR. Systems Engineering - Theory & Practice, 2015, 35(12): 3056-3064 https://doi.org/10.12011/1000-6788(2015)12-3056

References

[1] Wee H M, Widyadana G A. Single-vendor single-buyer inventory model with discrete delivery order, random machine unavailability time and lost sales[J]. International Journal of Production Economics, 2013, 143(2): 574-579.
[2] Kalpana P, Kaur A. Ordering decisions of single period split order supply chain with various demand distributions[J]. International Journal of Operational Research, 2013, 16(3): 263-286.
[3] 高春燕, 沈厚才. 设备多状态、多类顾客制造系统的生产速率和库存分配联合决策[J]. 系统工程理论与实践, 2012, 32(11): 2504-2511.Gao Chunyan, Shen Houcai. Optimal control of production rate and inventory in a manufacturing system with multiple machine states and multiple demand classes[J]. Systems Engineering——Theory & Practice, 2012, 32(11): 2504-2511.
[4] Beyer H G, Sendhoff B. Robust optimization——A comprehensive survey[J]. Computer Methods in Applied Mechanics and Engineering, 2007, 196(33): 3190-3218.
[5] Bertsimas D, Goyal V. On the approximability of adjustable robust convex optimization under uncertainty[J]. Mathematical Methods of Operations Research, 2013, 77(3): 323-343.
[6] Gabrel V, Murat C, Thiele A. Recent advances in robust optimization: An overview[J]. European Journal of Operational Research, 2014, 235(3): 471-483.
[7] Scarf H, Arrow K J, Karlin S. A min-max solution of an inventory problem[J]. Studies in the Mathematical Theory of Inventory and Production, 1958, 10(1): 201-209.
[8] Perakis G, Roels G. Regret in the newsvendor model with partial information[J]. Operations Research, 2008, 56(1): 188-203.
[9] Zhang M. Two-stage minmax regret robust uncapacitated lot-sizing problems with demand uncertainty[J]. Operations Research Letters, 2011, 39(5): 342-345.
[10] Lin J, Sheng Ng T. Robust multi-market newsvendor models with interval demand data[J]. European Journal of Operational Research, 2011, 212(2): 361-373.
[11] Ribas G P, Hamacher S, Street S. Optimization under uncertainty of the integrated oil supply chain using stochastic and robust programming[J]. International Transaction in Operationanl Research, 2010, 17(7): 777-796.
[12] Jammernegg W, Kischka P. Risk preferences and robust inventory decisions[J]. International Journal of Production Economics, 2009, 118(2): 269-274.
[13] Simangunsong E, Hendry L C, Stevenson M. Supply chain uncertainty: A review and theoretical foundation for future research[J]. International Journal of Production Research, 2012, 50(16): 4493-4523.
[14] Yang L, Xu M H, Yu G, et al. Supply chain coordination with CVaR criterion[J]. Asia Pacific Journal of Operational Research, 2009, 26(1): 135-160.
[15] Han Y, Zhao B, Song H M. Two-ordering newsvendor based on CVaR decision criteria with information updating[J]. Journal of Applied Sciences, 2013, 13(23): 5611-5615.
[16] 林强, 叶飞, 陈晓明. 随机弹性需求条件下基于CVaR与收益共享契约的供应链决策模型[J]. 系统工程理论与实践, 2011, 31(12): 2296-2308.Lin Qiang, Ye Fei, Chen Xiaoming. Decision models for supply chain based on CVaR and revenue sharing contract under stochastic elastic demand[J]. Systems Engineering——Theory & Practice, 2011, 31(12): 2296-2308.
[17] Xu X, Meng Z, Shen R. A tri-level programming model based on conditional value-at-risk for three-stage supply chain management[J]. Computers & Industrial Engineering, 2013, 66(2): 470-475.
[18] Wu M, Zhu S X, Teunter R H. Newsvendor problem with random shortage cost under a risk criterion[J]. International Journal of Production Economics, 2013, 145(2): 790-798.
[19] Qiu R, Shang J, Huang X. Robust inventory decision under distribution uncertainty: A CVaR-based optimization approach[J]. International Journal of Production Economics, 2014, 153(1): 13-23.
[20] Rockafellar R T, Uryasev S. Conditional value-at-risk for general loss distributions[J]. Journal of Banking & Finance, 2002, 26(7): 1443-1471.
[21] Zhu S S, Fukushima M. Worst-case conditional value-at-risk with application to robust portfolio management[J]. Operations Research, 2009, 57(5): 1155-1168.
[22] Pardo L. Statistical inference based on divergence measures[M]. Chapman & Hall/CRC Press, Boca Raton, FL, 2006.
[23] Liese F, Vajda I. On divergences and informations in statistics and information theory[J]. IEEE Transactions on Information Theory, 2006, 52(10): 4394-4412.
[24] Ben-Tal A, Den Hertog D, De Waegenaere A, et al. Robust solutions of optimization problems affected by uncertain probabilities[J]. Management Science, 2013, 59(2): 341-357.
[25] Bertsimas D, Thiele A. A data-driven approach to newsvendor problems[R]. Technical Report, Massechusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, 2006.
PDF(864 KB)

576

Accesses

0

Citation

Detail

Sections
Recommended

/