Stopping approving nuclear power projects and China’s commitment of emissions mitigation：An analysis based on computable general equilibrium model

TANG Ling, BAO Qin, WANG Ming-xi

Systems Engineering - Theory & Practice ›› 2014, Vol. 34 ›› Issue (2) : 349-356.

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Systems Engineering - Theory & Practice ›› 2014, Vol. 34 ›› Issue (2) : 349-356. DOI: 10.12011/1000-6788(2014)2-349

Stopping approving nuclear power projects and China’s commitment of emissions mitigation：An analysis based on computable general equilibrium model

  • TANG Ling1, BAO Qin2, WANG Ming-xi3
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Abstract

Due to Japanese nuclear leakage, the State Council of China claimed to stop approving new nuclear power projects before nuclear safety program was enacted. Since nuclear power is one of the most important clean energy sources, how will this affect China's emissions reduction target in 2020, and how should we adjust development planning of other clean energy sources in order to meet China's commitment of emissions mitigation? To address these questions, a CGE-based clean energy development model for China was developed in this paper. In the proposed model, nuclear power, hydropower and other clean energy sources were involved in production module as important energy inputs. Based on the data for the year 2007, the model was run up to the year of 2020 with different scenarios of other clean energy development. Simulation results indicate that whether or not China can meet emissions mitigation commitment under the scenario of stopping approving is closely dependent on diverse factors, especially energy consumption elasticity; however, accelerating the development of other clean energy sources will make large contributions to China's emissions reduction.

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emissions mitigation / nuclear power / clean energy / CGE model

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TANG Ling , BAO Qin , WANG Ming-xi. Stopping approving nuclear power projects and China’s commitment of emissions mitigation：An analysis based on computable general equilibrium model. Systems Engineering - Theory & Practice, 2014, 34(2): 349-356 https://doi.org/10.12011/1000-6788(2014)2-349

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