可再生能源技术创新如何驱动城市能源转型?——基于综合能源平衡表的考察

杨光磊, 张国兴, 曹冬勤

系统工程理论与实践 ›› 2025, Vol. 45 ›› Issue (4) : 1113-1130.

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系统工程理论与实践 ›› 2025, Vol. 45 ›› Issue (4) : 1113-1130. DOI: 10.12011/SETP2023-1006
论文

可再生能源技术创新如何驱动城市能源转型?——基于综合能源平衡表的考察

    杨光磊1, 张国兴1, 曹冬勤2
作者信息 +

How can renewable energy technological innovation drive city-level energy transition?—An investigation from the comprehensive energy balance table

    YANG Guanglei1, ZHANG Guoxing1, CAO Dongqin2
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摘要

本文以2005-2019年我国279个地级城市作为研究对象, 实证考察了可再生能源技术创新对城市能源转型的影响及其作用机制. 研究发现, 可再生能源技术创新整体上显著推动了城市能源转型, 但真正发挥推动作用是在2011年之后, 且对西南地区所辖城市能源转型的推动作用明显强于其他城市; 不仅如此, 可再生能源技术创新对可再生能源相对丰裕和化石能源相对稀缺城市能源转型具有显著推动作用, 但在可再生能源相对稀缺和化石能源相对丰裕城市发挥的作用则相反. 上述结论在规避样本选择偏误、 内生性和特殊样本干扰后仍然成立. 进一步研究发现, 降低能源成本、 提高可再生能源经济渗透率以及减少污染排放, 是可再生能源技术创新驱动城市能源转型的关键作用渠道. 本研究首次从城市维度揭示了可再生能源技术创新对能源转型的影响机制, 有助于推动将国家和省级能源发展战略落实到城市层面, 对于高质量推动城市能源转型工作提供了有力支撑.

Abstract

In this study, the impact of renewable energy technological innovation (RETI) on city-level energy transition and its mechanisms are investigated in 279 Chinese cities from 2005 to 2019. The results show that, on the whole, RETI has significantly contributed to city-level energy transition, but the real contribution was made after 2011, and the contribution to the energy transition was significantly stronger in cities located in the Southwest region than in other cities. In addition, RETI has a significant contribution to the energy transition in cities with a relative abundance of renewable energy and a relative scarcity of fossil energy, but the opposite is true for cities with a relative scarcity of renewable energy and a relative abundance of fossil energy. These findings hold after circumventing sample selection bias, endogeneity, and special sample interventions. Further studies found that reducing energy costs, increasing the economic penetration of renewable energy, and reducing pollution emissions are the key channels through which RETI drives city-level energy transition. This study is the first to reveal the mechanism of RETI on energy transition at the city level, which helps to promote the implementation of national and provincial energy development strategies to the city level, and provides strong support to promote city-level energy transition with high quality.

关键词

能源转型 / 可再生能源技术创新 / 能源平衡表 / 作用机制 / 城市

Key words

energy transition / renewable energy technological innovation / energy balance table / influence mechanisms / cities

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杨光磊, 张国兴, 曹冬勤. 可再生能源技术创新如何驱动城市能源转型?——基于综合能源平衡表的考察. 系统工程理论与实践, 2025, 45(4): 1113-1130 https://doi.org/10.12011/SETP2023-1006
YANG Guanglei, ZHANG Guoxing, CAO Dongqin. How can renewable energy technological innovation drive city-level energy transition?—An investigation from the comprehensive energy balance table. Systems Engineering - Theory & Practice, 2025, 45(4): 1113-1130 https://doi.org/10.12011/SETP2023-1006
中图分类号： F062.1    F062.4   

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基金

国家自然科学项目 (72403107, 72243006, 72034003); 国家资助博士后研究人员计划 (GZB20230280)
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