中国碳交易政策对可持续经济福利的影响研究

张跃军, 王霞

系统工程理论与实践 ›› 2023, Vol. 43 ›› Issue (2) : 309-320.

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PDF(659 KB)
系统工程理论与实践 ›› 2023, Vol. 43 ›› Issue (2) : 309-320. DOI: 10.12011/SETP2022-0981
论文

中国碳交易政策对可持续经济福利的影响研究

    张跃军1,2, 王霞1,2
作者信息 +

The impact of carbon emissions trading scheme on sustainable economic welfare in China

    ZHANG Yuejun1,2, WANG Xia1,2
Author information +
文章历史 +

摘要

碳交易政策是实现"双碳"目标的重要手段,评价该政策对经济、社会和环境的影响具有重要现实意义.采用中国30个省(市)2009--2017年面板数据构建可持续经济福利指数,并使用双重差分法评价中国碳交易政策对可持续经济福利的影响.结果表明:1)碳交易政策显著促进了试点地区的可持续经济福利增长,相对于碳交易非试点地区,试点地区的可持续经济福利提高了0.122万元/人.2)碳交易政策对东部试点地区的可持续经济福利的影响相对最大,为0.202万元/人,同时,随着清洁能源消费和研发投资增加,碳交易政策能显著促进东部试点地区可持续经济福利水平提高.3)碳交易政策对可持续经济福利具有一定的滞后效应,滞后期约为两年.

Abstract

Carbon emission trading scheme is an important policy tool to achieve the carbon peak and neutrality targets, and it is of great practical significance to evaluate the impact of the policy on the economy, society and the environment. This study uses the data from 30 provinces in China from 2009 to 2017 to construct the index of sustainable economic welfare, and develops the difference-in-differences model to evaluate the impact of China's carbon emission trading scheme on sustainable economic welfare. The results show that:1) The carbon emission trading scheme has significantly promoted the growth of sustainable economic welfare in the pilot areas. Compared with non-pilot areas, the sustainable economic welfare of the pilot areas has increased by 1,220 yuan per person. 2) The impact of carbon emission trading scheme on the sustainable economic welfare of the eastern pilot area is relatively the largest, which is 2,020 yuan per person. At the same time, with the increase in clean energy consumption and R&D investment in the eastern region, the carbon emission trading scheme can significantly promote the improvement of sustainable economic welfare in the eastern pilot areas. 3) The carbon emission trading scheme has a certain lag effect on sustainable economic welfare, and the lag period is about two years.

关键词

碳交易政策 / 可持续经济福利 / 双重差分法 / 清洁能源消费 / 研发投资

Key words

carbon trading policy / sustainable economic welfare / difference-in-differences / clean energy consumption / R&D investment

引用本文

导出引用
张跃军 , 王霞. 中国碳交易政策对可持续经济福利的影响研究. 系统工程理论与实践, 2023, 43(2): 309-320 https://doi.org/10.12011/SETP2022-0981
ZHANG Yuejun , WANG Xia. The impact of carbon emissions trading scheme on sustainable economic welfare in China. Systems Engineering - Theory & Practice, 2023, 43(2): 309-320 https://doi.org/10.12011/SETP2022-0981
中图分类号: F205    F272.5    F426   

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基金

国家自然科学基金(71774051,72243003);国家社会科学基金(22AZD128);湖南省科技创新计划(2020RC4016)
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