多目标碳配额分配下的减排技术投资策略研究

夏晖, 王思逸, 蔡强

系统工程理论与实践 ›› 2019, Vol. 39 ›› Issue (8) : 2019-2026.

PDF(756 KB)
PDF(756 KB)
系统工程理论与实践 ›› 2019, Vol. 39 ›› Issue (8) : 2019-2026. DOI: 10.12011/1000-6788-2018-1574-08
论文

多目标碳配额分配下的减排技术投资策略研究

    夏晖1, 王思逸2, 蔡强3
作者信息 +

Study on the investment strategies of emission reduction technology under the multi-target carbon quota allocation

    XIA Hui1, WANG Siyi2, CAI Qiang3
Author information +
文章历史 +

摘要

本文研究政府在多目标碳配额分配条件下,行业内减排效率差异企业的最优减排技术投资策略.通过建立政府与企业的博弈模型,采用理想点法对多目标规划问题进行求解,分析碳配额政策对企业技术投资决策的影响.数值分析结果显示,在政府兼顾社会效益和经济效益的多目标配额分配条件下,低减排效率企业更有可能投资进行技术升级,以获得政府分配的更多配额,而高效率企业的投资动力不足.另外,技术投资成本下降或减排技术代际差异扩大时,行业内两企业投资升级技术的可能性增加.所得结论对于政府制定合适的碳配额分配政策,以及相关配套措施促进全行业的技术升级具有重要意义.

Abstract

This paper studies the optimal investment strategies of enterprises with different emission reduction efficiency under government's multi-objective carbon quota allocation. By establishing a game model among the government and the enterprises and using the ideal point method to solve the multi-objective programming problem, we analyze the impacts of quota allocation policy on the enterprises' decision-making of technology investment. The numerical analyzing results show that, under the multi-objective quota allocation that the government combines social benefits and economic benefits, the enterprises with low emission reduction efficiency are more likely to invest in technology upgrades to obtain more quotas allocated by the government, while the investment motivation of high-efficiency enterprises are insufficient. In addition, when the cost of technology investment declines or the intergenerational difference in emission reduction technologies expands, the possibility increases that all enterprises across the whole industry invest in upgrading technologies. These conclusions are of great significance for the government to formulate appropriate carbon quota allocation policies and corresponding supporting measures to promote industry-wide technology upgrades.

关键词

碳配额分配 / 碳减排技术 / 投资策略 / 多目标规划 / 博弈均衡

Key words

carbon quota allocation / carbon emission reduction technology / investment strategy / multi-objective planning / game equilibrium

引用本文

导出引用
夏晖 , 王思逸 , 蔡强. 多目标碳配额分配下的减排技术投资策略研究. 系统工程理论与实践, 2019, 39(8): 2019-2026 https://doi.org/10.12011/1000-6788-2018-1574-08
XIA Hui , WANG Siyi , CAI Qiang. Study on the investment strategies of emission reduction technology under the multi-target carbon quota allocation. Systems Engineering - Theory & Practice, 2019, 39(8): 2019-2026 https://doi.org/10.12011/1000-6788-2018-1574-08
中图分类号: F830.59    X196   

参考文献

[1] Mao C. Decision analysis for manufacturers to carry out emission reduction through technology Innovation under carbon emission constraints[C]//20132nd International Conference on Science and Social Research, 2013:598-602.
[2] Venmans F M J. The effect of allocation above emissions and price uncertainty on abatement investments under the EU ETS[J]. Journal of Cleaner Production, 2016, 126:595-606.
[3] Lou G X, Xia H Y, Zhang J Q, et al. Investment strategy of emission-reduction technology in a supply chain[J]. Sustainability, 2015, 7(8):10684-10708.
[4] Xu L, Wang C. Contracting pricing and emission reduction for supply chain considering vertical technological spillovers[J]. International Journal of Advanced Manufacturing Technology, 2017, 93(1-4):481-492.
[5] Luo R, Fan T. Influence of government subsidies on carbon reduction technology investment decisions in the supply chain[C]//International Conference on Service Systems and Service Management, IEEE, 2015:1-6.
[6] Kok A G, Shang K, Yücel S. Impact of electricity pricing policies on renewable energy investments and carbon emissions[J]. Management Science, 2016, 64(1):131-148.
[7] Baker E, Shittu E. Profit-maximizing R&D in response to a random carbon tax[J]. Resource & Energy Economics, 2006, 28(2):160-180.
[8] Feng W, Ji G, Pardalos P M. Effects of government regulations on manufacturer's behaviors under carbon emission reduction[J]. Environmental Science & Pollution Research, 2017, 24(3):1-9.
[9] Heilmayr R, Bradbury J A. Effective, efficient or equitable:Using allowance allocations to mitigate emissions leakage[J]. Climate Policy, 2011, 11(4):1113-1130.
[10] 朱帮助, 江民星, 袁胜军,等. 配额初始分配对跨期碳市场效率的影响研究[J]. 系统工程理论与实践, 2017, 37(11):2802-2811.Zhu B Z, Jiang M X, Yuan S J, et al. Exploring the impact of initial permits allocation on the efficiency of intertemporal carbon market[J]. Systems Engineering-Theory & Practice, 2017, 37(11):2802-2811.
[11] Meunier G, Ponssard J P. A sectoral approach balancing global efficiency and equity[J]. Environmental and Resource Economics, 2012, 53(4):533-552.
[12] 叶飞, 令狐大智. 双寡头竞争环境下的碳配额分配策略研究[J]. 系统工程理论与实践, 2015, 35(12):3038-3046.Ye F, Linghu D Z. Carbon quota allocation policy in duopoly[J]. Systems Engineering-Theory & Practice, 2015, 35(12):3038-3046.
[13] An J, Lee J. A newsvendor non-cooperative game for efficient allocation of carbon emissions[J]. Sustainability, 2018, 10(1):1-14.
[14] 杨仕辉, 魏守道, 翁蔚哲. 南北碳排放配额政策博弈分析与策略选择[J]. 管理科学学报, 2016, 19(1):12-23.Yang S H, Wei S D, Weng W Z. Game analysis and strategy choices of north-south carbon emission quota policies[J]. Journal of Management Sciences in China, 2016, 19(1):12-23.
[15] Böhringer C, Rosendahl K E. Strategic partitioning of emission allowances under the EU emission trading scheme[J]. Resource & Energy Economics, 2008, 31(3):182-197.
[16] 顾基发. 多目标决策问题[J]. 自然杂志, 1980, 3(2):34-37.Gu J F. Multi-objective decision-making problem[J]. Chinese Journal of Nature, 1980, 3(2):34-37.
[17] Mavi R K, Kazemi S, Jahangiri J M. Developing common set of weights with considering non-discretionary inputs and using ideal point method[J]. Journal of Applied Mathematics, 2013, 2013(29-32):1-9.
[18] Liu R, Zhang K, Zhang Z, et al. Land-use suitability analysis for urban development in Beijing[J]. Journal of Environmental Management, 2014, 145(12):170-179.

基金

国家自然科学基金面上项目(71473031);教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目(14YJA790062);四川省应用基础研究重点项目(2017JY0200)
PDF(756 KB)

Accesses

Citation

Detail

段落导航
相关文章

/