非平稳时序模型在三江平原井灌水稻区地下水动态变化中的应用

付强;门宝辉;王志良;梁川

系统工程理论与实践 ›› 2003, Vol. 23 ›› Issue (1) : 132-138.

PDF(227 KB)
PDF(227 KB)
系统工程理论与实践 ›› 2003, Vol. 23 ›› Issue (1) : 132-138. DOI: 10.12011/1000-6788(2003)1-132
论文

非平稳时序模型在三江平原井灌水稻区地下水动态变化中的应用

    付强(1)(2),门宝辉(2),王志良(2), 梁川(2)
作者信息 +

Applying Non-stable Time Series Model to Forecasting the Groundwater Dynamic Varies in Area of Well Irrigation Rice in Sanjiang Plain

    Qiang FU(1)(2),Bao Hui MEN(2),Zhi Liang WANG92),Cuan LIANG(2)
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文章历史 +

摘要

针对三江平原广大井灌水稻区地下水严重紧缺、地下水位持续下降、漏斗与“吊泵”现象时有发生等问题 ,以建三江管局创业农场为例 ,运用随机过程建立随机模型模拟地下水动态变化 ,并预测未来变化趋势 ,渴望对该地区今后的农业及地下水资源可持续发展提供参考.

Abstract

Recently, the problem of shorting of groundwater resources is rather serious in San Jiang Plain. More and more funnel and "hanging pump" appears. The groundwater level descends continually. So, the paper takes Jiang San Jiang Department Chuang Ye Farm as the example, through applying the method of random analyze to building up the non\|stable time series random model. Through using this model, the paper simulates the dynamic varies and forecast the varied trend in the future. The authors want to provide som...

关键词

随机模型 / 三江平原 / 井灌水稻 / 地下水位

Key words

non-stable time series model / well irrigation rice / groundwater / Sanjiang Plain

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付强 , 门宝辉 , 王志良 , 梁川. 非平稳时序模型在三江平原井灌水稻区地下水动态变化中的应用. 系统工程理论与实践, 2003, 23(1): 132-138 https://doi.org/10.12011/1000-6788(2003)1-132
Qiang FU , Bao Hui MEN , Zhi Liang WANG) , Cuan LIANG. Applying Non-stable Time Series Model to Forecasting the Groundwater Dynamic Varies in Area of Well Irrigation Rice in Sanjiang Plain. Systems Engineering - Theory & Practice, 2003, 23(1): 132-138 https://doi.org/10.12011/1000-6788(2003)1-132
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