灰色预测模型特性的研究

吉培荣;黄巍松;胡翔勇

系统工程理论与实践 ›› 2001, Vol. 21 ›› Issue (9) : 105-108.

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系统工程理论与实践 ›› 2001, Vol. 21 ›› Issue (9) : 105-108. DOI: 10.12011/1000-6788(2001)9-105
论文

灰色预测模型特性的研究

    吉培荣; 黄巍松; 胡翔勇
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A Study on the Properties of Grey Forecasting Model

    Pei Rong JI,Wei Song HUANG,Xiang Yong HU
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摘要

对 GM(1 ,1 )模型特性进行了研究 ,证明了 GM(1 ,1 )模型是有偏差的指数模型 ,分析了模型偏差的特性 ,进而从理论上阐明了 GM(1 ,1 )模型误差的实质 .

Abstract

In this paper the properties of GM(1,1) model are studied. The fact that GM(1,1) model is a biased exponential model is shown, and the characteristics of the deviation of the model are analyzed. Therefore the essence of the error of GM(1,1) model is clarified.

关键词

灰色预测 / GM(1:1)模型 / 误差 / 偏差

Key words

grey forecasting / GM(1:1) model / error / deviation

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吉培荣 , 黄巍松 , 胡翔勇. 灰色预测模型特性的研究. 系统工程理论与实践, 2001, 21(9): 105-108 https://doi.org/10.12011/1000-6788(2001)9-105
Pei Rong JI , Wei Song HUANG , Xiang Yong HU. A Study on the Properties of Grey Forecasting Model. Systems Engineering - Theory & Practice, 2001, 21(9): 105-108 https://doi.org/10.12011/1000-6788(2001)9-105
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