GM(1,1)模型的背景值构造方法和应用(Ⅱ)

谭冠军

系统工程理论与实践 ›› 2000, Vol. 20 ›› Issue (5) : 125-127.

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PDF(187 KB)
系统工程理论与实践 ›› 2000, Vol. 20 ›› Issue (5) : 125-127. DOI: 10.12011/1000-6788(2000)5-125
论文

GM(1,1)模型的背景值构造方法和应用(Ⅱ)

    谭冠军
作者信息 +

The Structure Method and Application of Background Value in Grey System GM(1,1) Model (Ⅱ)

    Guan Jun TAN
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文章历史 +

摘要

通过重构一个表达形式简单的背景值计算公式,使得GM(1,1)模型能通用于等间距序列和非等间距序列,从而达到了扩大GM(1,1)模型应用范围的目的,同时仍保持了GM(1,1)建模简单易行的显著优点.实例说明,重构的背景值计算公式用于非等间距序列有很高的拟合和预测精度.

Abstract

In this paper, a simple calculating formula of background value is reestablished. The formula can be used to established GM (1, 1) medel of equidistance series and non-equidistance series, and the application range of GM (1 , 1) model is extended. Meantime, the advantages that GM (1, 1 )medel can be established simply and easily are retaincd. Examples show that the new formula to calculate background value of non-equidistance series makes GM (1, 1) medel have a very high fitting and forecastingprecision.

关键词

GM(1:1)模型 / 背景值构造方法 / 非等间距 / 应用

Key words

GM (1 / 1) model / structure method background value / non-equidistance

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谭冠军. GM(1,1)模型的背景值构造方法和应用(Ⅱ). 系统工程理论与实践, 2000, 20(5): 125-127 https://doi.org/10.12011/1000-6788(2000)5-125
Guan Jun TAN. The Structure Method and Application of Background Value in Grey System GM(1,1) Model (Ⅱ). Systems Engineering - Theory & Practice, 2000, 20(5): 125-127 https://doi.org/10.12011/1000-6788(2000)5-125
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