经典PERT时间模型的某些局限性及改进途径

王成斌

系统工程理论与实践 ›› 1991, Vol. 11 ›› Issue (2) : 0-0.

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PDF(457 KB)
系统工程理论与实践 ›› 1991, Vol. 11 ›› Issue (2) : 0-0. DOI: 10.12011/1000-6788(1991)2-105731
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经典PERT时间模型的某些局限性及改进途径

    王成斌
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Some Limitations of PERT-Time Model and Its Improved Approach

    Wang Chengbin
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摘要

<正> 自50年代末以来,见诸报导的各种管理网络不下百余种,但迄今应用最广泛的仍是经典PERT时间模型。围绕这一模型争论的焦点是以下两个近似式是否合理及采用Beta分布所带来的模型误差问题。

Abstract

One of the basic assumptions for classical PERT-Time model is that the expected time for an activity te is the weighted mean of the optimistic time a,the most likely time b, and the pessimistic time c, with the weights for a ,b ,c being 1,4, 1, r

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王成斌 . 经典PERT时间模型的某些局限性及改进途径. 系统工程理论与实践, 1991, 11(2): 0-0 https://doi.org/10.12011/1000-6788(1991)2-105731
Wang Chengbin . Some Limitations of PERT-Time Model and Its Improved Approach. Systems Engineering - Theory & Practice, 1991, 11(2): 0-0 https://doi.org/10.12011/1000-6788(1991)2-105731
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